Saturday, August 28, 2021

4 PM ADVISORY - HURRICANE IDA

 

400 PM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...IDA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC WIND
DAMAGE, AND FLOODING RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST BEGINNING SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.2N 87.0W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES
===================================================
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Ida was located
near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 87.0 West. Ida is moving toward
the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion should
continue through late Sunday or early Monday, followed by a slower
northward motion on Monday.  A northeastward turn is forecast by
Monday night.  On the forecast track, the center of Ida will move
over the central Gulf of Mexico through tonight. Ida is then
expected to make landfall along the coast of Louisiana within the
hurricane warning area on Sunday, and then move inland over
portions of Louisiana and western Mississippi later on Monday and
Monday night.

Satellite imagery indicates that maximum sustained winds have
increased to near 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts.  Additional
rapid strengthening is forecast during the next 12 to 24 hours
and Ida is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane
when it makes landfall along the Louisiana coast on Sunday.
Weakening is expected after landfall.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
(205 km).  NOAA buoy 42003, located about 90 miles (145 km) east of
the eye, reported peak one-minuted sustained winds of 54 mph (83
km/h) with a gust to 58 mph (94 km/h) within the past hour or so.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches).

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