Wednesday, March 18, 2020

The Latest Severe Weather Outlook for Thursday & Thursday Night


Mid-Day Area Forecast UPDATED


Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
1210 PM CDT WED MAR 18 2020

.THIS AFTERNOON...A 40 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. High 73. Wind south 5-10 mph.
.TONIGHT...A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 63. Wind south 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...An 80 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  High 79.  Wind south 10-15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A near 100 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 66.
.FRIDAY...A 40 percent chance of showers. High 72.  Temperatures falling the 50s by late afternoon.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...Saturday through Tuesday

Friday Night: Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with lows mostly in the upper 30s. North northwest wind around 10 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with highs mostly in the lower 50s. North northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with lows mainly in the upper 30s. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Sunday: A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with highs mostly in the lower 50s.

Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with lows mostly in the middle 40s.
Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with highs mostly in the lower 60s.

Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with lows mainly in the upper 40s.
Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with highs mainly in the middle 60s.

REH

Rainfall Amounts Forecast through Friday


Severe Weather Outlook: Small Risk for Severe Storms in NE West TN.

Severe Weather Risk this Afternoon

Wednesday Morning Area Forecast


Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
547 AM CDT WED MAR 18 2020

.THIS MORNING...A near 100 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Temperatures rising into the upper 60s by mid-day.  Wind becoming south 5-10 mph.
.THIS AFTERNOON...A 60 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. High 73. Wind south 5-10 mph.

.TONIGHT...A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 63. Wind south 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...An 80 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  High 79.  Wind south 10-15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A near 100 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 66.
.FRIDAY...A 40 percent chance of showers. High 72.  Temperatures falling the 50s by late afternoon.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...Saturday through Tuesday

Friday Night: Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with lows mostly in the upper 30s. North northwest wind around 10 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny, with highs mostly in the lower 50s. North northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with lows mainly in the upper 30s. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Sunday: A 40 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with highs mostly in the lower 50s.

Sunday Night: A 30 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with lows mostly in the middle 40s.
Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with highs mostly in the lower 60s.

Monday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with lows mainly in the upper 40s.
Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with highs mainly in the middle 60s.

REH

Risk of Severe Thunderstorms Thursday Night


A Remote Strong to Severe Storm Today


520 AM March 18, 2020

A warm front will be lifting north through W. TN today.  Dew point readings at 5:20 AM were in the upper 40s to mid-50s across the region.  Once the front lifts north, dew points will surge into the 60s. The warm frontal boundary coupled with the increased instability produced by the higher dew point readings will result in a low chance for a severe storm to develop.  Meanwhile...just before dawn...a large area of rain with embedded, isolated thunderstorms is located west of the MS River.

Referring to the forecast radar animation between 9 AM and 2 PM...the area of precipitation will move into West TN.  Note during this time period thunderstorms will begin to show up (areas of red). This is approximately when the front is lifting through.  It will be during this time that a strong thunderstorm could develop.  This is a low risk...however if one is able to go severe damaging wind gusts (58 mph +) would be the main threat.

WTWO
Forecast Radar Animation