A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers
and thunderstorms over western Cuba, the northwestern Bahamas,
southern Florida, and the adjacent Atlantic and Caribbean
waters. Gradual development of this system is possible while it
moves west-northwestward during the next few days. This system is
expected to move over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later today,
the central Gulf on Wednesday, and the northwestern Gulf on
Thursday and Friday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
- National Hurricane Center