Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Late Afternoon Area Forecast


Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
414 PM CDT WED JUL 10 2019

.THIS EVENING...A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Light wind.
.OVERNIGHT...A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 72. Light wind.

.THURSDAY...A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. High around 90. Wind north 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Low 68.
.FRIDAY... Mostly sunny. High near 90.

REH

HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF LOUISIANA



Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022019
400 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
LOUISIANA...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.1N 87.4W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 255 MI...410 KM ESE OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

The Storm Surge Watch has been extended westward to Intracoastal
City Louisiana.

A Hurricane Watch has been issued from the Mouth of the Mississippi
River westward to Cameron Louisiana.

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from north of the Mouth of
the Mississippi River to the Mouth of the Pearl River.

Key Messages:

1. A tropical depression is expected to form by Thursday over the
northern Gulf of Mexico. Conditions appear favorable for this system
to strengthen to a hurricane that will bring storm surge, rainfall,
and wind hazards to the central Gulf Coast.

2. A dangerous storm surge is possible in portions of southern and
southeastern Louisiana where a Storm Surge Watch is in effect.
Additional storm surge watches may be needed later tonight or
tomorrow. Residents in these areas should monitor the progress of
this system and listen to any advice given by local officials.

3. A Hurricane Watch has been issued for much of the Louisiana coast
and additional tropical storm or hurricane watches could be needed
later tonight or tomorrow. Residents in the watch area should ensure
they have their hurricane plan in place.

4. The slow movement of this system will result in a long duration
heavy rainfall threat along the central Gulf Coast and inland
through the lower Mississippi Valley through the weekend and
potentially into early next week. Flash flooding and river flooding
will become increasingly likely, some of which may be significant,
especially along and east of the track of the system.

Gulf of Mexico Tropical System Update 1 PM


100 PM CDT Wed Jul 10 2019

...TROPICAL CYCLONE EXPECTED TO FORM BY THURSDAY OVER THE
NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING ALREADY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 86.7W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES

Mid-Day Area Forecast


Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
1051 AM CDT WED JUL 10 2019

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM...

.THIS AFTERNOON...Hot and humid.  A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny. High 94. Heat Index 105 to 109. Wind variable 5 mph.
.TONIGHT...A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Low 74. Light wind.
.THURSDAY...A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning.  Partly cloudy. High around 90. Wind north 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Low 68.
.FRIDAY... Mostly sunny. High near 90.

...EXTENDED FORECAST... Friday through Monday...

.SATURDAY...A 30 percent chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Low 68. High 92.
.SUNDAY...A 30 percent chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Partly sunny.  Low 71. High 91.
.MONDAY...A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy. Low 74. High 89.
.TUESDAY...A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Partly sunny. Low 71. High around 90.

REH

Potential Tropical Cyclone Track - May Become "Barry" Thursday


Key Messages:

1. A tropical depression is expected to form later today or
Thursday. Conditions appear favorable for this system to strengthen
to a hurricane at it approaches the central Gulf Coast by the
weekend.

2. Dangerous storm surge is possible in portions of southeast
Louisiana and a Storm Surge Watch has been issued for this area.
The risk for dangerous storm surge impacts also exists farther west
along the Louisiana coast into the Upper Texas coast, and additional
storm surge watches may be needed later today or tonight. Residents
in these areas should monitor the progress of this system and listen
to any advice given by local officials.

3. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the
Louisiana coast and additional Tropical Storm or Hurricane Watches
could be needed later today or tonight for the remainder of the
Louisiana coast and the Upper Texas Coast.

4. The system has the potential to produce very heavy rainfall along
and inland of the central Gulf Coast through early next week. For
more information, see products from your local National Weather
Service office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center.

WTWO 7-Day Forecast


Highs / Lows / Rainfall


7 AM Tropical Weather Outlook

Main Discussion Points from NHC...

A broad low pressure area located over the northeastern Gulf of
Mexico about 100 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola, Florida,
is producing widespread cloudiness and disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.

  •  Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form late today or Thursday while the low moves slowly westward across the northern Gulf of Mexico.  
  • An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. 
  • This system could produce storm surge and tropical-storm- or hurricane-force winds across portions of the Louisiana, Mississippi, and Upper Texas coasts later this week, and interests there should closely monitor its progress.  
  • In addition, this disturbance has the potential to produce very heavy rainfall from the Upper Texas Coast to the Florida Panhandle.  For more information, please see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


Wednesday Morning Area Forecast


Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
551 AM CDT WED JUL 10 2019

...HEAT ADVISORY TO FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM...

.TODAY...Continued hot and humid.  A 30 percent chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.  Partly sunny. High 94. Afternoon Heat Index 105 to 109. Wind variable 5 mph.
.TONIGHT...A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Low 74. Light wind.
.THURSDAY...A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning.  Partly cloudy. High around 90. Wind north 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Low 68.
.FRIDAY... Mostly sunny. High near 90.

...EXTENDED FORECAST... Friday through Monday...

.SATURDAY...A 30 percent chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Low 68. High 92.
.SUNDAY...A 30 percent chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Partly sunny.  Low 71. High 91.
.MONDAY...A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy. Low 74. High 89.
.TUESDAY...A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Partly sunny. Low 71. High around 90.

REH

1 AM Wednesday - Tropical Weather Outlook for the Gulf of Mexico


1 AM CDT...


This system could produce storm surge and tropical
storm or hurricane force winds across portions of the Louisiana,
Mississippi and Upper Texas coasts, and interests there should
closely monitor its progress.  In addition, this disturbance has the
potential to produce very heavy rainfall from the Upper Texas Coast
to the Florida Panhandle.  For more information, please see products
issued by your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather
Prediction Center.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Heat Advisory Today...for ALL of West TN

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 8 PM today is in effect for all of West TN.
REMEMBER: A Heat Advisory means that a period of hot temperatures is
expected. The combination of hot temperatures and high humidity
will combine to create a situation in which heat illnesses are
possible. Drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned
room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relatives and
neighbors.