Monday, February 18, 2019

Monday Afternoon Area Forecast

Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
428 PM CST MON FEB 18 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Low 31. Wind northeast 5-10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A 30 percent chance of showers in the morning.  A near 100 percent chance of showers.  High 42.  Wind east 10-15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A near 100 percent chance of showers.  Heavy rainfall possible. Temperatures remaining in the 40s. Wind southeast 10-15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...An 80 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Warmer. High 62. Wind southwest 5-10 mph.

...EXTENDED FORECAST:  Thursday through Monday...

.THURSDAY... A 60 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy.  Low 38. High 53.
.FRIDAY... A 70 percent chance of showers.  Low 45. High 58.
.SATURDAY...A 90 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 55. High 70.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny and cooler. Low 48. High 59.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Low 38. High 55.

REH


FLOOD WATCH: Tuesday Afternoon through Thursday Morning

Rain, heavy at times, will begin early tomorrow in response to a
persistent upper-level jetstream over the area. Appreciable rainfall
over the same locations may lead to flash flooding.

In addition, areas along Interstate 40 that recently experienced 
heavy rainfall will be especially susceptible to flash flooding.


NWS: Heavy rainfall will likely result in flooding this week...

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1004 AM CST Mon Feb 18 2019

..Heavy rainfall will likely result in flooding across the
Midsouth this week...

An active weather pattern will persist across the Mid-South this
week. Several periods of heavy rainfall are expected, Tuesday into
Tuesday night, and again for Thursday through Saturday as a
series of upper level disturbances move across the Lower
Mississippi Valley. Heavy rain will likely result in areal
flooding, possibly flash flooding and exacerbate river flooding.

Latest 7 day forecast rainfall totals indicate widespread 4-8
inches of rain will be possible, generally centered along the
Interstate 40 corridor with over 8 inches locally. These
forecast rain amounts combined with an already saturated ground
may lead to flooding of some roads, low lying areas, and other
poor drainage locations. This may also lead to rises in area
rivers and increased potential of river flooding.

Please continue to closely monitor forecasts and updates
regarding the heavy rainfall and flooding potential this week.
Visit our website at weather.gov/memphis for the latest forecast
updates and river forecasts.



Monday Morning Area Forecast

Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
536 AM CST MON FEB 18 2019

.TODAY...Partly sunny. High 46. Wind north 5-10 mph.
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. Low 31. Wind northeast 5-10 mph.
.TUESDAY...A 30 percent chance of showers in the morning.  A near 100 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms in the afternoon.  Heavy rainfall possible in the afternoon.  High 43.  Wind east 10-15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A near 100 percent chance of showers and scattered thunderstorms.  Heavy rainfall possible. Temperatures remaining in the 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...An 80 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Warmer. High 62.

REH

Heavy Rainfall and Flooding LIKELY this Week

Most areas of the Mid-South have experienced above normal rainfall in the last couple of months resulting in saturated ground and higher than normal river levels. 

Heavy rainfall will return to the region by Tuesday and continue into Sunday morning with 5-10 inches of rainfall east of the Mississippi River with the highest amounts over Northeast Mississippi. Three to six inches of rain is forecast west of the Mississippi River through Sunday morning. 

As a result of the ongoing wet conditions and heavy rainfall expected this week...flooding will become a problem. Areal flooding, river flooding, flooding of creeks and tributaries and flash flooding are all likely. 

- NWS


RISK FOR FLOODING RAINS


These forecast rain amounts combined with an
already saturated ground may lead to flooding of some roads, low
lying areas, and other poor drainage locations. This may also lead
to rises in area rivers and increased potential of river
flooding.

Continue to closely monitor forecasts and updates regarding the
heavy rainfall and flooding potential this week. Visit our website
at weather.gov/memphis for the latest forecast updates and river
forecasts.

-NWS