Saturday, April 11, 2020

Saturday Evening Area Forecast


Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
645 PM CDT SAT APR 11 2020

.THIS EVENING...A 50 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.  Temperatures lowering into the 50s. Winds south 5-10 mph.
.OVERNIGHT... An 80 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms after midnight. Low 54. Wind south 5-10 mph.

.EASTER SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Some storms may be severe.  Heavy rainfall is possible in the afternoon. High 67. Wind southeast 5-10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Windy. Showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be severe in the evening. Low 46. Wind south 15 mph and gusty becoming 20-30 mph with higher gusts after midnight.
.MONDAY...Decreasing cloudiness and cooler. High 57. Wind northwest 10-15 mph.

...EXTENDED FORECAST...Tuesday through Saturday...

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of showers this afternoon. Partly sunny, with a high near 52.

Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers early. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 59.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70.

Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.

Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.

REH

Probability Maps for Sunday's Severe Weather Threat

For all outlooks, the probability values represent the chance of severe weather occurring within 25 miles of any point, which is about the size of a major metropolitan area.

As an example, if you have a 15% probability for tornadoes, this means you have a 15% chance of a tornado occurring within 25 miles of your location. 

  • This may seem like a low number, but a tornado is very uncommon at any one location. 
  • Normally, your chances of getting hit by a tornado or other severe weather are small, purely based on the statistical average. 
  • Let's say you have a 1% statistical (climatology) history of tornadoes within 25 miles on this day, which still is large. 
  • Having a 15% probability means 15 times the normal odds of a tornado nearby, meaning it should be taken seriously. 
  • The probabilities for severe thunderstorm wind and hail also have the same meaning as they do for tornadoes, but typically will be higher numbers than for tornadoes, since they are much more common.


DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITY


HAIL PROBABILITY


 TORNADO PROBABILITY
The hatched area represents a 10% chance of a
tornado of EF2 or greater will occur within
25 miles of your location.

ALL INFORMATION PROVIDED BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER

SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LIKELY ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING

212 PM CDT Sat Apr 11 2020

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK LIKELY ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING...

A strong area of low pressure will move into the Lower
Mississippi Valley Sunday into Sunday evening with thunderstorms
expected to become severe. Large hail, damaging winds, and
tornadoes are all possible with any thunderstorms that become
severe. Widespread wind damage is possible along with the
potential for numerous power outages. Heavy rainfall will also be
possible across the area. The greatest threat will be across North
Mississippi during the afternoon and early evening hours, but
severe storms are possible at any time Sunday well into Sunday
night across any portion of the Midsouth.

Officials recommend sheltering from tornadoes inside your home
when possible if a storm shelter is not available. Take shelter in
a closet, bathroom, interior hallway or other interior room with
no windows on the lowest floor of a house or building. Mobile home
residents should seek shelter in a more sturdy building.

Now is the time to plan for what precautions you will take if
severe weather threatens your location Sunday afternoon into
Sunday evening while following all local, state, and CDC
guidelines. Do not wait until a warning is issued to make your
severe weather plan.

Stay tuned to the latest information from the National Weather
Service in Memphis and local media regarding this increasing
severe weather threat.

Saturday Morning Briefing on Sunday's Severe Weather Risk



Saturday Morning Area Forecast


Forecast for Jackson and Vicinity
West Tennessee Weather Online Jackson TN
723 AM CDT SAT APR 11 2020

.TODAY...Warmer. Mostly sunny. High near 70. Wind south 5-10 mph.
.THIS EVENING...A 20 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy.  Temperatures lowering into the 50s. Winds south 5-10 mph.
.OVERNIGHT... An 80 percent chance of showers and a few thunderstorms after midnight. Low 54. Wind south 5-10 mph.
.EASTER SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Some storms may be severe in the afternoon. Heavy rainfall is possible in the afternoon. High 67. Wind southeast 5-10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Windy. Showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be severe in the evening. Low 47.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny and cooler. High 57.

...EXTENDED FORECAST...Tuesday through Friday...

.TUESDAY...A 20 percent chance of showers in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy. Low 39. High 56.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny.  Low 37.  High near 60.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Low 39. High 65.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Low 42. High 67.

REH

Severe Weather Outlook: Sunday