FIVE CONCERNS TODAY from the NWS in Memphis:
1) Showers and elevated storms will move through this morning. They are expected to remain sub-severe with small hail and gusty winds. They will clear out by late morning.
2) Two rounds of severe thunderstorms are NOW expected today. The first round will arrive early afternoon and pose all hazards. Large hail, a strong tornado, and damaging winds are all possible.
The 2nd round is expected late afternoon through midnight as the cold front moves through. The main risks will mainly be damaging winds with embedded tornadoes within the line.
3) A significant tornado is possible, mainly south of I-40 with the highest confidence within the Moderate Risk area over north Mississippi.
4) A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for much of north Mississippi. 2-3 inches with higher amounts may cause localized flash flooding.
5) "A Hidden Threat"
Strong persistent winds, not associated with storms and behind the cold front, could approach 50-60 mph tonight. This could down additional trees and powerlines.
The main concern is still for a few strong and possibly long-tracked tornadoes during the afternoon and early evening hours. However, the largest impact will likely be from widespread damaging winds with embedded circulations with the second round of storms. Power outages look likely and could be widespread.